Week 13 SEC football score predictions; Aggies have playoff stakes, looking for style points vs Vols

Week 13 SEC football score predictions; Aggies have playoff stakes, looking for style points vs Vols

NASHVILLE, TN – DECEMBER 12, 2020 – Running back Eric Gray #3 of the Tennessee Volunteers during the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, TN. Photo By Andrew Ferguson/Tennessee Athletics

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

Each week, I share my predictions and info on SEC football games.

Below is broadcast info and analysis for Week 13 in the SEC, which is the final week of the regular season and, obviously, the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta.

These are straight-up winners only. The point spread is just as a barometer for how big of a favorite or underdog each team is.

I’m 8-1 in predicting the Vols this season. My one miss was the shocking Kentucky home blowout loss for UT.

2020 SEC Week 12 Game Prediction Record: 4-1 (80%)
2020 SEC Season Prediction Record: 55-10 (85%)
2019 SEC Game Prediction Record: 103-20 (84%)


SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WEEKEND
SATURDAY, December 19

#5 Texas A&M (7-1, 7-1 SEC) at Tennessee (3-6, 3-6 SEC)
Series: UT leads, 2-1
Noon ET • ESPN
Last: TAMU, 45-38 (2OT) (2016 in College Station)
Knoxville, Tenn. • Neyland Stadium (102,455)
Sirius: 136/134 • XM: 201/191
Point Spread: Texas A&M -14
Vince’s View: This is the first game in Knoxville for Texas A&M in school history. Aggies TE Jalen Wydermyer (40 rec 431 yds 6 TDs) is the 2nd best TE in the league. I think he’ll be a real problem for UT’s defense. Texas A&M averages rushed for about 200 yds per game while only allowing about 100 yds rushing per game. A&M has averages more than 7.0 yards per play on offense four times this season. On the flip side, UT has averaged 7.0 yards per play four times in the last 24 games. UT’s two new QBs have as many TD passes the last two gams and the old QB had in the first 7 games. UT’s redzone trips are way down as well. UT was 8-for-9 with 7 TDs in the first two games. The last 7 games, UT is only 9-for-14 with 8 TDs. That’s 4.5 trips into the redzone to now just 2 per game. Kellen Mond has had a great statistical year, overall, but he’s still been inconsistent. His offensive line (only 4 sacks allowed all season) is one of the best in the SEC and the country. RB Isaiah Spiller is also one of the league’s best. During A&M’s 6-game winning streak, Spiller is averaging 22 carries and 126 yards. The Aggies have too many ways to win and obviously have a chance to get in the college football playoff.
Score Prediction: Texas AM 42 Tennessee 21

Ole Miss (4-4, 4-4 SEC) at LSU (4-5, 4-5 SEC)
Series: UM leads, 63-40-4
3:30 p.m. ET • SEC Network
Last: LSU 58-37 (2019 in Oxford)
Baton Rouge, La. • Tiger Stadium (102,321)
Sirius: 134 • XM: 380/191
Point Spread: Ole Miss -1
Vince’s View: The Rebels having Elijah Moore and Kenny Yeboah opt-out this week is devastating. They are the two leading receivers for Ole Miss. LSU showed life last week with new starting QB Max Johnson, Tigers avoid the losing season and go out with some respect…on the field at least.
Score Prediction: LSU 35 Ole Miss 34

Missouri (5-4, 5-4 SEC) at Mississippi State (2-7, 2-7 SEC)
Series: MIZ leads, 2-1
3:30 p.m. ET • SEC Network Alternate Channel
Last: MSU, 31-13 (2019 in Columbia)
Starkville, Miss. • Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field (61,337)
Sirius: 136/135 • XM: 201/192
Point Spread: Missouri -1 ½
Vince’s View: Missouri was pushed around bad in the second half vs. Georgia last week. That won’t be the case this week against an undermanned MSU team. The Tigers can really score. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs haven’t scored more than 24 points in a game since…week one at LSU. Yikes.
Score Prediction: Missouri 38 Mississippi St. 17

2020 SEC Championship Game
#1 Alabama (V) vs. #7 Florida (H)
Saturday, Dec. 19, 2020
8 p.m. ET • CBS Sports
Atlanta, Ga. • Mercedes-Benz Stadium (16,500)

THE TEAMS: Alabama (10-0, 10-0 SEC) is the Western Division Champion and the visiting team. Florida (8-2, 8-2 SEC) is the Eastern Division Champion and the home team.

NATIONAL RANKINGS:  Alabama comes into the game as the No. 1-ranked team in the nation in the Associated Press, USA Today polls and College Football Playoff polls. Florida is the No. 8-ranked team in the nation by the CFP, while ranked 11th in AP and Coaches. This is the fourth consecutive season the SEC Championship Game has featured a Top-10 matchup.

SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: Only once since 2006 (2014) has the winner of the SEC Championship Game failed to advance to the national championship game. The game, which started in 1992, is in its 29th year. It was a result of conference expansion, which saw Arkansas and South Carolina become the first members added in SEC history. Over 1.8 million fans have witnessed the pageantry of the game first-hand, with 26 sellouts in its history, including the last 25 consecutive contests. (Only 1993 and 1995 were not). The first two games were played at Legion Field in Birmingham and the game was played at the Georgia Dome from 1994-2016. This will mark the fourth SEC Championship Game played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

SEC CHAMPIONS: Alabama will be vying for its 28th SEC Championship and second in the last three seasons. Florida is aiming for its ninth SEC Championship and first since 2008.

TELEVISION: CBS Sports will televise the game nationally for the 19th straight year (BRAD NESSLER, Play-by-Play; GARY DANIELSON, Analyst; JAMIE ERDAHL, Sidelines; CRAIG SILVER, Producer). CBS has aired the game nationally since 2001. ABC Sports televised the game from 1992-2000.

TV RATINGS: Last season’s SEC Championship Game between LSU and Georgia averaged a 7.9 rating and 13.70 million viewers on CBS — trailing only the No. 1 LSU vs. No. 1 Alabama earlier in the season (9.7, 16.64M) as the highest rated and most-watched game of the college football season. The 2018 SEC Championship Game between Georgia and Alabama was the most-watched and highest-rated regular-season college football game on any network in seven years with a 10.1/23 rating/share and 17.5 million viewers. It also marked the second most-watched SEC Championship ever in 26 years since the game debuted in 1992. The 2009 SEC Championship Game earned an 11.8 rating and a 24 share, marking the highest-rated SEC Championship Game in history. The game matched the No. 1 Florida Gators (12-0) vs. the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0).

RADIO: Managed by Learfield IMG College, the SEC Radio Network will broadcast the game to the 11-state SEC region and around the nation on SiriusXM. (SEC Radio Network: DAVE NEAL, Play-by-Play; DAVE ARCHER, Analyst; STEPHEN HARTZELL, Sidelines). The broadcast can be heard on Sirius 134, XM 191. The Alabama Radio Network is on Sirius 137, XM 190 and the Florida Radio Network is on Sirius 84, XM 84.

SERIES: Alabama and Florida will meet for the 10th time in the SEC Championship Game and the 42nd time overall when the two teams square off on Saturday. The Crimson Tide holds a 27-14 (26-14 NCAA) advantage in the series, including a 5-4 mark in the SEC title game. UA is currently riding a six-game winning streak overall with three straight victories over the Gators in the SEC Championship. Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 8-4 in his career against UF, including a 6-1 record at UA and a 3-1 mark in Atlanta. Florida head coach Dan Mullen is 0-9 against UA with all nine losses coming during his time at Mississippi State.

IN THE SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: Alabama and Florida are meeting in the SEC championship game for the tenth time, the most frequent matchup in SEC Championship Game history, with Alabama holding a 5-4 lead. For Alabama, it will be their 13th overall appearance, tied with Florida for most in SEC history. The Tide are a SEC-best 8-4 in those games, with their last loss coming in 2008 versus Florida. The Gators are 7-5 in their previous SEC Championship appearances, with their last SEC title coming in 2008. This will be UF’s first appearance since 2016. Alabama currently has a three-game winning streak in the SEC Championship Game versus Florida.

POINT SPREAD: Alabama -17

VINCE’S VIEW: Florida’s mess of a loss at home to LSU last week took the air of this game balloon now that no-one gives the Gators a chance. UF has a chance, just not much of one. The Gators have a puncher’s chance because of two elite players, some other team speed and talent and a great head coach that rubs opponents the wrong way. The biggest issue for Florida is that Alabama seems to get better and more dominant every week. Florida better play as a front runner with the lead if it wants to have a prayer.

SCORE PREDICTION: Alabama 49 Florida 24


Find more of my broadcasting work at VinceSports.net.

Vols Eclipse Century Mark, Down Tennessee Tech, 103-49

Vols Eclipse Century Mark, Down Tennessee Tech, 103-49

Vols G Keon Johnson / Credit: UT Athletics

KNOXVILLE, Tenn. – Six double-figure scorers and a lights-out shooting night led the 10th-ranked Tennessee basketball team to a resounding, 103-49 victory over Tennessee Tech Friday at Thompson-Boling Arena.

The 54-point win was Tennessee’s (4-0) eighth-largest margin of victory in program history. Friday’s result over the Golden Eagles (0-8) also marked the most points the Vols have scored since dropping 106 on Arkansas on Jan. 15, 2019.

The Volunteers finished the night shooting .583 from the field (42-72), along with a highly efficient .474 (9-19) mark from 3-point range. Tennessee also tallied a 4.0 assist/turnover ratio on the night (28 assists, seven turnovers).

Freshman Jaden Springer was UT’s leading scorer, dropping a season-high 21 points on 8-of-10 shooting from the field while pulling in six rebounds and dishing off a season-high six assists. Springer did all of this in just 22 minutes of action, logging nearly one point per minute.

Sophomore Josiah-Jordan James and senior John Fulkerson also enjoyed impactful outings, with James tallying 15 points and six rebounds and Fulkerson totaling 13 points and six boards.

Victor Bailey Jr. was the third Vol to pour in at least 15 points, scoring his 15 on 5-of-8 shooting and draining both of his attempts from beyond the 3-point arc.

Freshman Keon Johnson and senior Yves Pons were the fifth and sixth Vols to reach double-digit points, scoring 13 and 10, respectively.

Pons–the reigning SEC Defensive Player of the Year–also recorded two thunderous blocks in the first half to bring his season total to five.

After a fairly even start in the game’s opening minutes, the Orange & White busted things open with a 15-3 run spanning a stretch of four minutes to take a 23-9 lead at the under-12 media timeout, with Springer scoring 11 during the run.

As the half wore on, the Vols continued to assert themselves on the offensive end, finishing the half with a .583 shooting percentage (21-36) and taking a 49-22 advantage into the break.

Out of the locker room, UT continued to flex its muscle, extending its lead to as many as 58 in the second half to close out the 54-point triumph.

Defense Continues to Dominate: Through four games, the Vols have yet to allow an opponent to reach 60 points. Friday, the Vols held Tennessee Tech to 49 , while forcing 15 turnovers, nabbing eight steals and blocking eight shots.

Up Next: The Vols continue their busy stretch of games with a Monday night clash against Saint Joseph’s. Tipoff from Thompson-Boling Arena is set for 6 p.m. ET on SEC Network.

-UT Athletics

PHOTO GALLERY: UT Football Practice – Texas A&M Week Images

PHOTO GALLERY: UT Football Practice – Texas A&M Week Images

Tennessee football continues to prepare for the final game of the regular season this Saturday at home vs. Texas A&M. Here are some photos, courtesy of UT Athletics, from Vols practice. You can select any photo and scroll through all the images easily. Be sure to go to the Vols tab here on the website for all our UT sports photo galleries.

FB Preview: Vols Host No. 5 Aggies in Regular-Season Finale

FB Preview: Vols Host No. 5 Aggies in Regular-Season Finale

Vols WR Velus Jones Jr. / Credit: UT Athletics

Tennessee wraps up its regular-season slate with a matchup against No. 5 Texas A&M noon Saturday at Neyland Stadium.

The Vols are coming off a 42-17 victory over in-state rival Vanderbilt and will be looking to notch an upset to end the regular season with two straight wins.

Saturday will also be Senior Day as UT will recognize its seniors prior to kickoff. Gates open to the public two hours prior to kickoff at 10 a.m.

Please note that parking passes issued for this season did not include opponents on them, therefore, those with parking passes should use the pass labeled “Game 5” for Saturday’s contest.

BROADCAST INFO

Saturday’s game will be televised nationally on ESPN with Bob Wischusen (PxP), Dusty Dvoracek (analyst) and Quint Kessenich (sideline) on the call. Kickoff is slated for noon ET.

Fans can also listen to Tennessee’s official radio broadcast on the Vol Network (WIVK-FM 107.7/WNML-FM 99.1) and satellite radio (Sirius Ch. 134, XM Ch. 191, Internet Ch. 962). A live audio stream of the broadcast will also be available on UTSports.com​ and the Official Gameday App.

Bob Kesling (PxP), Tim Priest (analyst) and Brent Hubbs (analyst) will call the action, with Kasey Funderburg handling sideline duties. The “Kickoff Call-In Show” begins at 2 p.m.

NEED TO KNOW

Gameday Health & Safety Measures
Due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, numerous procedures and protocols have been put in place for Tennessee football home games at Neyland Stadium. Relying on the expertise of public health authorities, the state of Tennessee, appropriate university and government agencies including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), we are implementing a number of new initiatives on Tennessee football gamedays this fall. The well-being of our student-athletes, fans and staff are our top priorities and guide our decisions.

Stadium capacity will be limited to no more than 25% and capacity will also be limited in all merchandise shops. Merchandise stores and stands will only be accepting credit cards for payment. Cash will not be accepted.

Face coverings (over the nose and mouth) are required for all guests as they enter, exit and move around Neyland Stadium, as well as any time guests are unable to maintain the recommended physical distance from others who are not in their same household.

Physical distancing measures have been put in place, including physically distanced line queues, marked barriers and social distancing reminders. A significant number of hand washing opportunities, including hand sanitizers and portable hand-washing stations have been added inside Neyland Stadium. Additional cleaning and sanitization measures have been implemented. This includes high touch-point areas being cleaned more frequently and providing additional hand-sanitizing locations.

For a complete overview of this season’s health and safety measures, please visit the Tennessee Football Gameday Information page on UTSports.com.

Back in the Win Column
Tennessee snapped a six-game losing streak with a 42-17 win at Vanderbilt last Saturday. The Vols erupted for a season-high 540 yards of total offense and scored 28 unanswered in the second and third quarters to erase a 10-7 deficit. Bryce Thompson ignited the scoring with a highlight-reel one-handed interception that he returned 18 yards for a touchdown with 8:37 remaining in the second quarter. True freshman quarterback Harrison Bailey made his second straight start and finished 14-of-18 for 207 yards and two scores. He completed his first 13 pass attempts and found Velus Jones Jr. for a 74-yard score in the fourth quarter. Jones Jr. notched UT’s first 100-yard receiving game this season, finishing with seven catches for 125 yards and two scores. Henry To’o To’o led the Vols with 10 tackles and two PBUs.

Offense Peaking Entering Regular-Season Finale
In the last three games, Tennessee has seen its passing game take the next step. The Vols have passed for 240-plus yards in three straight games, marking the first time they have done that since the 2012 season – 381 at South Carolina, 530 vs. Troy, 432 vs. Missouri. It’s also the first time that UT has passed for 240-plus yards in three straight SEC games since 2009 – 259 vs. Auburn, 310 vs. Georgia, 265 at Alabama. Tennessee threw for 242 yards at Auburn on Nov. 21, 240 yards vs. No. 6 Florida on Dec. 5 and 328 yards in a win at Vanderbilt on Dec. 12.

True freshman Harrison Bailey and sophomore J.T. Shrout each threw a pair of touchdowns in the win at Vanderbilt on Dec. 12. It was the first time the Vols threw four or more touchdowns in a game since tallying four against No. 20 Florida on Sept. 24, 2016. In the last two games combined, Tennessee has thrown for six touchdowns and only one interception. The six TD passes is tied for the SEC lead with Alabama in the month of December. In the two December games, UT is 48-of-69 for 568 yards and a completion percentage of 69.6, which ranks third in the SEC behind Texas A&M (78.3) and Alabama (75.8).

Against No. 6 Florida on Dec. 5, Tennessee orchestrated three scoring drives of over 94 yards. It was the first time since at least 2003 that the Vols had three scoring drives of 90+ yards in a game. In a loss at No. 21 Auburn on Nov. 21, the Vols tallied 28 first downs, representing the most in the Jeremy Pruitt era. It was also the most first downs in a game by UT since recording 29 against Kentucky on Nov. 12, 2016. Tennessee has put up over 400 yards of total offense in two of its last three games, including a Pruitt-era-high 540 at Vanderbilt and 464 at No. 21 Auburn on Nov. 21.

Thompson Earns SEC Defensive Player of the Week Honors
Junior cornerback Bryce Thompson has been a playmaker in the secondary for Tennessee in his three seasons. Thompson has forced 10 turnovers in his career, including two forced fumbles and eight interceptions. He is tied for the lead among active SEC players in career interceptions and is 13th in the FBS in that category and tied for fifth in the Power 5.

Last Saturday at Vanderbilt, Thompson swung the momentum of the game for the Vols, making a spectacular one-handed interception and returning it 18 yards for a touchdown. The pick six came in the second quarter with the Vols trailing 10-7 and ignited 28 unanswered points for Tennessee. It was the first pick six of Thompson’s career. He added two tackles and was the highest graded defensive player of the game with a 91.2 coverage grade according to Pro Football Focus. It was his second interception of the season. For his efforts, Thompson was tabbed the SEC Co-Defensive Player of the Week on Dec. 14. The recognition marks the third such honor for Thompson, who was the outright SEC Defensive Player of the Week on Nov. 4, 2019, and SEC Freshman of the Week on Sept. 10, 2018.

To’o To’o Top Defender
Sophomore linebacker Henry To’o To’o leads the Vols in tackles (63) and tackles for loss (10.0) this season. He leads the SEC in TFLs per game (1.1) and is one of two SEC players this season with 10 or more TFLs. To’o To’o has multiple tackles for loss in four games this season, including a career-best 2.5 TFLs against No. 6 Florida. He added a fake punt conversion to his resume against Vanderbilt last week with a 31-yard reception in the second quarter.

Strength of Schedule
No. 5 Texas A&M is the fourth top-five ranked opponent Tennessee has faced this season (includes all polls, at time of meeting). It’s the first time in school history that the Vols will have faced four top-five ranked teams in a single season. All four of those teams are still ranked in the top 11 and are a combined 32-5 this season. Fifty percent of UT’s schedule this season came against ranked opponents. According to the USA Today Sagarin Ratings, Tennessee’s strength of schedule ranks fifth in the FBS behind Arkansas (1), Mississippi State (2), Michigan State (3) and Auburn (4).

December Football
Regular season contests in the month of December are a rare occurrence for Tennessee football. Saturday’s contest will be the latest calendar-wise regular season game in school history and will be Tennessee’s 36th regular season game played during the month of December. The Dec. 5 Florida contest was the first December game for the Vols since Dec. 1, 2001, a game that was rescheduled following the events of 9/11. The Vols defeated No. 2 Florida, 34-32, in Gainesville that day.

UT has been very successful in December regular season games all-time, boasting a 30-4-1 record in such contests. The only losses: Dec. 5, 2020 vs. Florida (L, 31-19), Dec. 5, 1953 at Houston (L, 33-19), Dec. 9, 1933 at LSU (L, 7-0) and Dec. 3, 1905 vs. Grant in Chattanooga (L, 5-0).

This will be the 15th December game played in Knoxville and the 14th in Neyland Stadium. The Vols are 13-1 in those contests. Including postseason games, Tennessee owns a 44-15-1 (.742) record during the month of December.

SERIES HISTORY

Vols lead series, 2-1
This will be just the fourth meeting all-time between the Vols and Aggies and the first ever game between the two programs at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee has faced Texas A&M the fewest times among any of its SEC opponents.

UT won the first two meetings in the series at neutral sites with a 3-0 win in the 1957 Gator Bowl in Jacksonville and a 38-7 victory in the 2004 Cotton Bowl in Dallas. Texas A&M won the most recent and only conference meeting between the two schools, posting a thrilling 45-38 double overtime win in College Station back in 2016.

ABOUT TEXAS A&M

The Aggies enter Saturday’s game with a 7-1 record and sit just outside the top four in the College Football Playoff rankings, coming in at No. 5. Texas A&M is coached by Jimbo Fisher, who is 24-10 in his third season as the Aggies head coach. The Aggies are solid on both sides of the ball, ranking fourth in the SEC in total offense (429.8 ypg) and second in total defense (329.5 ypg). Their offensive line has been one of the best in the country, ranking fifth in the FBS and leading the conference with only 0.5 sacks allowed per game.

Quarterback Kellen Mond leads the Aggies offense. The senior signal caller has passed for1,769 yards and 18 touchdowns while throwing just two interceptions this season. Mond ranks fourth in the SEC and 19th nationally in passing touchdowns (18) and fifth in the league in passing efficiency (146.4). He has also rushed for 199 yards and two touchdowns. Sophomore Jalen Wydermyer, one of the best young tight ends in the country, leads the Aggies’s deep and talented receiving corps with 40 receptions for 431 yards and six touchdowns. Fellow sophomore Ainias Smith ranks second on the team with 33 catches for 410 yards and five touchdowns. Sophomore running back Isaiah Spiller is one of the top rushers in the SEC with 897 yards and six touchdowns on 151 carries. His 112.1 yards per game ranks second in the conference.

Defensively, senior linebacker Buddy Johnson does a little bit of everything for Texas A&M. He leads the team with 74 tackles, ranks third on the squad with six tackles for loss and also has three sacks, three pass breakups and one interception. Junior defensive lineman Bobby Brown III leads the Aggies with 4.5 sacks and ranks second on the team with 6.5 TFLs. Junior defensive back Leon O’Neal leads the secondary with 42 tackles and two interceptions.

-UT Athletics

Lady Vols confirm Sunday home game after opponent drops

Lady Vols confirm Sunday home game after opponent drops

Lady Vols / Credit: UT Athletics

KNOXVILLE, Tenn. – The University of Tennessee women’s basketball team will still host a game at Thompson-Boling Arena at noon on Sunday.

The Lady Vol staff has secured an opponent to replace Jackson State, which was not able to travel to Knoxville due to COVID-19 contact tracing and quarantine measures within its program. The new team will be announced on Saturday.

All tickets currently issued for the originally-scheduled Jackson State game will remain valid for the new opponent slated for December 20, 2020. Fans are encouraged to keep their tickets in the original form in which they were sent to them.

For fans with mobile tickets, the barcode of the mobile ticket will be valid for the game on Dec. 20, 2020, whether it is in the digital wallet on a phone or in a confirmation email.

Tickets to Sunday’s game versus the new opponent will only be available for walk-up sales starting on Sunday at 10 a.m. at the Thompson-Boling Arena ticket windows.

-UT Athletics

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